Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Benfica |
14.27% (![]() | 19.83% (![]() | 65.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.21% (![]() | 43.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.82% (![]() | 66.18% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.29% (![]() | 42.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.95% (![]() | 79.04% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% (![]() | 12.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.63% (![]() | 38.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.52% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 1.51% Total : 14.28% | 1-1 @ 9.42% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.83% | 0-2 @ 11.54% (![]() 0-1 @ 11.07% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.82% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 65.89% |
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