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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
M

Farense
0 - 1
Moreirense


Caseres (27')
Oliveira (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Madson (28')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Farense
Sunday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, February 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Moreirense

While there is a nine-point gap between these sides in the league standings, they are very evenly matched on paper, and both will be looking to bounce back from defeats last week. We are expecting a close encounter here and feel that there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for SC Farense has a probability of 30.62% and a draw has a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest SC Farense win is 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).

Result
SC FarenseDrawMoreirense
30.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 42.19% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.11% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91% (0.134 0.13)56.08% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (0.108 0.11)77.16% (-0.111 -0.11)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (0.066999999999993 0.07)33.39% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.073999999999998 0.07)70.02% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.078999999999994 0.08)26.26% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.108 0.11)61.37% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 30.62%
    Moreirense 42.18%
    Draw 27.19%
SC FarenseDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 9.62% (-0.031999999999998 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 11.72% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.83% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Farense
Sunday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Farense
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-3 Porto
Sunday, January 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Farense
Saturday, January 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Farense
Friday, January 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, February 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Chaves
Saturday, February 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Moreirense
Saturday, January 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Moreirense
Saturday, January 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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