SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Portimonense |
48.92% ( -0.22) | 22.17% ( -0.11) | 28.91% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 64.99% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.1% ( 0.77) | 34.9% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.12% ( 0.85) | 56.88% ( -0.85) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( 0.21) | 14.7% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.12% ( 0.4) | 42.88% ( -0.4) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( 0.59) | 23.81% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.02% ( 0.85) | 57.98% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Portimonense |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.91% |
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