SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave |
32.36% ( -0.68) | 26.58% ( -0.34) | 41.05% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.6% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.78% ( 1.18) | 53.22% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% ( 0.99) | 74.78% ( -0.99) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( 0.14) | 30.7% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( 0.17) | 66.96% ( -0.16) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( 1.09) | 25.54% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( 1.46) | 60.41% ( -1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.36% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.05% |
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