Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
60.9% (![]() | 22.75% (![]() | 16.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48% (![]() | 52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.27% (![]() | 73.74% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.34% (![]() | 16.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.47% (![]() | 46.53% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.15% (![]() | 44.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.19% (![]() | 80.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 13.39% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.99% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 60.89% | 1-1 @ 10.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.99% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.47% Total : 16.35% |
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