SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 25.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | SC Farense |
48.13% ( 0.41) | 26.02% ( 0.04) | 25.85% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( -0.45) | 54.08% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( -0.38) | 75.51% ( 0.37) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( -0.01) | 22.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( -0.01) | 56.04% ( 0.01) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.92% ( -0.62) | 36.08% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% ( -0.63) | 72.86% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 48.12% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.85% |
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