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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Alfreton Town |
40.09% ( -0.77) | 25.8% ( 0.31) | 34.11% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( -1.25) | 49.56% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( -1.13) | 71.59% ( 1.13) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( -0.95) | 24.39% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( -1.36) | 58.81% ( 1.36) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( -0.32) | 27.77% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( -0.41) | 63.35% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.11% |
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