Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | FC Koln |
40.66% ( -0.28) | 23.97% ( -0.05) | 35.37% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 61.35% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.08% ( 0.3) | 40.92% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.69% ( 0.31) | 63.31% ( -0.3) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% ( -0) | 20.35% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.25% ( -0) | 52.74% ( 0.01) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.02% ( 0.32) | 22.98% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.23% ( 0.46) | 56.77% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.37% |
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