SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.3%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Gabon |
64.53% ( 0.01) | 22.72% ( -0.01) | 12.75% |
| Both teams to score 38.08% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.98% ( 0.03) | 58.02% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.29% ( 0.02) | 78.71% ( -0.02) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( 0.01) | 17.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.92% ( 0.02) | 48.08% ( -0.02) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.18% ( 0.02) | 53.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.84% ( 0.01) | 87.16% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Gabon |
| 1-0 @ 16.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 14.3% 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 64.52% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 0-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 1.93% Total : 12.75% |
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