SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.02%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Gabon |
50.12% ( 0.12) | 28.83% ( -0.07) | 21.05% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 37.92% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.38% ( 0.15) | 66.62% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.99% ( 0.1) | 85.01% ( -0.1) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( 0.13) | 27.16% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.44% ( 0.17) | 62.56% ( -0.17) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.06% ( 0.03) | 47.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.81% ( 0.02) | 83.19% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea | Draw | Gabon |
| 1-0 @ 16.97% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 50.12% | 0-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.07) 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.05% |
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