SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Gabon win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Gabon |
39.37% ( 0.12) | 30.18% ( -0.01) | 30.45% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.87% ( 0.01) | 66.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.33% ( 0) | 84.67% ( -0.01) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.08) | 32.8% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( 0.09) | 69.36% ( -0.09) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( -0.08) | 38.98% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.29% ( -0.07) | 75.7% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Gabon |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.37% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.17% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 30.44% |
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