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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
GN
Mauritania
2 - 1
Gabon
Tanjy (30'), Kamara (42')
Hacen Houeibib (7'), Mouhsine (16'), Keita (35'), Ibnou Ba (90+3')
Hacen Houeibib (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
N'Dong (90+1')
Ebane Abessolo (89'), Ibnou Ba (89'), N'Dong (90')
Amonome (5'), Ekomie (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Mauritania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 0-2 Congo DR
Sunday, June 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: Mauritania 1-1 Gabon

The stakes for Saturday's game could hardly be higher than they currently are and we are expecting an enthralling affair. That said, we can see the teams cancelling each other out and having to settle for a point apiece come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Gabon win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.

Result
MauritaniaDrawGabon
39.37% (0.118 0.12) 30.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 30.45% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.13% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.33% (0.004999999999999 0)84.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.077999999999989 0.08)32.8% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (0.087000000000003 0.09)69.36% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)38.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.29% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)75.7% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 39.37%
    Gabon 30.44%
    Draw 30.17%
MauritaniaDrawGabon
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.031 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.37%
1-1 @ 13.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.17%
0-1 @ 12.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 30.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Mauritania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 1-1 Congo DR
Tuesday, March 28 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Mauritania
Friday, March 24 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Mali
Tuesday, January 24 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Angola 0-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 20 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Gabon 0-2 Congo DR
Sunday, June 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sudan 1-0 Gabon
Monday, March 27 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 1-0 Sudan
Thursday, March 23 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-3 Gabon
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gabon 0-0 Mauritania
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo DR 0-1 Gabon
Saturday, June 4 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

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