SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Guinea | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | Gambia | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 38.8%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 30.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.8%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Senegal |
38.8% ( -0.46) | 30.89% ( 0.35) | 30.31% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 39.26% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.81% ( -0.95) | 68.2% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.94% ( -0.63) | 86.06% ( 0.64) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% ( -0.8) | 34.26% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.04% ( -0.87) | 70.96% ( 0.88) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.73% ( -0.45) | 40.28% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.1% ( -0.41) | 76.91% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 14.78% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.8% | 0-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.48) 1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.89% | 0-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.37% Total : 30.3% |
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