SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Niger had a probability of 6.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.21%) and 3-0 (12.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.5%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Niger |
77.77% ( -0.81) | 16.22% ( 0.5) | 6.01% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 30.82% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.91% ( -0.78) | 52.09% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% ( -0.68) | 73.81% ( 0.68) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.49% ( -0.44) | 11.51% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.61% ( -0.96) | 36.39% ( 0.96) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.82% ( 0.5) | 65.17% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.92% ( 0.21) | 93.08% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Niger |
| 2-0 @ 17.53% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.28% Total : 77.76% | 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.23) 1-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.22% | 0-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.31% Total : 6.01% |
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