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Friendlies 1
Jun 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
SN

Brazil
2 - 4
Senegal

Paqueta (11'), Marquinhos (58')
Lucas (60'), Militao (89'), Danilo (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Diallo (22'), Marquinhos (52' og.), Mane (55', 90+7' pen.)
Ciss (45'), Diatta (89'), Jackson (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Brazil 4-1 Guinea
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Benin 1-1 Senegal
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Brazil 3-1 Senegal

While Brazil eased to a comfortable victory against Guinea, they should expect a more difficult challenge from an experienced and star-studded Senegal side. However, we expect the Selecao to have too much quality for the African champions and come out on top at the Estadio Jose Alvalade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
BrazilDrawSenegal
61.97% (18.008 18.01) 22.66% (0.2 0.2) 15.37% (-18.214 -18.21)
Both teams to score 44.16% (-22.391 -22.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.71% (-19.364 -19.36)53.29% (19.359 19.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.16% (-19.059 -19.06)74.84% (19.054 19.05)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (-0.652 -0.65)16.75% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.32% (-1.177 -1.18)46.67% (1.171 1.17)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.05% (-26.277 -26.28)46.95% (26.272 26.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.55% (-29.184 -29.18)82.45% (29.179 29.18)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 61.96%
    Senegal 15.37%
    Draw 22.66%
BrazilDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 14.05% (7.97 7.97)
2-0 @ 12.55% (6.998 7)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.74 0.74)
3-0 @ 7.48% (4.097 4.1)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.325 0.32)
4-0 @ 3.34% (1.797 1.8)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-2.061 -2.06)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.63 0.63)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.962 -0.96)
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 61.96%
1-1 @ 10.62% (1.037 1.04)
0-0 @ 7.86% (4.534 4.53)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-3.308 -3.31)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.698 0.7)
1-2 @ 4.02% (-3.536 -3.54)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-1.887 -1.89)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-2.955 -2.96)
2-3 @ 0.9% (-2.719 -2.72)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 15.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brazil 4-1 Guinea
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 25 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Brazil (4-2 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Brazil 4-1 South Korea
Monday, December 5 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Cameroon 1-0 Brazil
Friday, December 2 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Brazil 1-0 Switzerland
Monday, November 28 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Benin 1-1 Senegal
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 5-1 Mozambique
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 0-0 Senegal (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, February 4 at 7.30pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Madagascar
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in African Nations Championship


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