SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Senegal |
61.97% ( 18.01) | 22.66% ( 0.2) | 15.37% ( -18.21) |
| Both teams to score 44.16% ( -22.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.71% ( -19.36) | 53.29% ( 19.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.16% ( -19.06) | 74.84% ( 19.05) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( -0.65) | 16.75% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.32% ( -1.18) | 46.67% ( 1.17) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.05% ( -26.28) | 46.95% ( 26.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.55% ( -29.18) | 82.45% ( 29.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 14.05% ( 7.97) 2-0 @ 12.55% ( 7)2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.74)3-0 @ 7.48% ( 4.1)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 1.8)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -2.06)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.63)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.96)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 61.96% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 1.04) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 4.53)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -3.31)Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -3.54)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -1.89)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -2.96)2-3 @ 0.9% ( -2.72)Other @ 1.24% Total : 15.37% |
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