SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Niger had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.56%) and 3-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.85%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tanzania in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Niger |
67.53% ( -0.68) | 21.83% ( 0.34) | 10.64% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 34.68% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.88% ( -0.41) | 59.12% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.44% ( -0.31) | 79.56% ( 0.31) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( -0.37) | 16.9% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.06% ( -0.67) | 46.94% ( 0.66) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.73% ( 0.41) | 58.27% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.26% ( 0.22) | 89.74% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tanzania | Draw | Niger |
| 1-0 @ 17.5% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 15.56% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 67.52% | 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.15) 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.34% Total : 10.64% |
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