SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 76.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 7.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.87%) and 3-0 (11.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
76.75% ( -0.43) | 15.77% ( 0.25) | 7.48% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 39.31% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.5) | 44.82% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( -0.48) | 67.18% ( 0.48) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.15% ( -0.23) | 9.85% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.32% ( -0.54) | 32.68% ( 0.54) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.6% ( 0.14) | 56.4% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.3% ( 0.08) | 88.7% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2-0 @ 14.92% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 76.74% | 1-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.77% | 0-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.28% Total : 7.48% |
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