Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.