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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
BL

Sheff Utd
2 - 5
Brighton

Hamer (44'), Osula (45+8')
Norwood (10'), Hamer (45+7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Buonanotte (14'), Pedro (29' pen., 52' pen., 67'), Welbeck (90+7')
Webster (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 West Ham
Sunday, January 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Wolves
Monday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Premier League

We said: Sheffield United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Having finally been thwarted at the Amex once again, a Brighton side bereft of attacking options are at risk of further offensive disappointment against one of their bogey teams, who displayed tremendous grit to take a point off of West Ham. Both teams could certainly do without a fourth-round replay, but we are finding it impossible to pick a winner at Bramall Lane, where a low-scoring stalemate could be on the menu thanks to Sheffield United's knockout nous. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.59%) and 1-3 (6.5%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.64% (1.994 1.99) 21.01% (0.146 0.15) 53.35% (-2.141 -2.14)
Both teams to score 66.34% (1.844 1.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09% (1.409 1.41)31.9% (-1.413 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54% (1.634 1.63)53.45% (-1.635 -1.64)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (2.222 2.22)24.39% (-2.224 -2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (3.038 3.04)58.8% (-3.041 -3.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74% (-0.145 -0.14)12.26% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62% (-0.303 -0.3)38% (0.302 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 25.64%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 53.35%
    Draw 21.01%
Sheffield UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.285 0.29)
1-0 @ 4.22% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.307 0.31)
2-0 @ 2.98% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.308 0.31)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.169 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.64%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.263 0.26)
0-0 @ 2.99% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.596 -0.6)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.53 -0.53)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.446 -0.45)
2-3 @ 4.59% (0.16 0.16)
1-4 @ 3.41% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.249 -0.25)
2-4 @ 2.41% (0.07 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-4 @ 1.13% (0.101 0.1)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 53.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 West Ham
Sunday, January 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Gillingham 0-4 Sheff Utd
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-3 Luton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Sheff Utd
Friday, December 22 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Wolves
Monday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stoke 2-4 Brighton
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Spurs
Thursday, December 28 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton
Thursday, December 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Brighton
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League


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