SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Manchester City |
21.79% ( -0.03) | 22.9% ( 0.29) | 55.32% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.72% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( -1.29) | 45.04% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( -1.26) | 67.39% ( 1.26) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( -0.75) | 34.74% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.53% ( -0.81) | 71.47% ( 0.81) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( -0.54) | 16.15% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% ( -1) | 45.59% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.79% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 5.99% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 55.31% |
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