SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
24.83% ( 0.4) | 23.46% ( 0.08) | 51.7% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0.03) | 44.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0.03) | 66.69% ( -0.04) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( 0.35) | 31.66% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.93% ( 0.4) | 68.07% ( -0.41) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( -0.17) | 17.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.58% ( -0.29) | 47.42% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.83% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 51.7% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
