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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 60.47%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%).
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Sevilla |
60.47% ( 4.56) | 19.3% ( -2.22) | 20.24% ( -2.35) |
| Both teams to score 65.31% ( 4.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.88% ( 7.62) | 30.12% ( -7.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.66% ( 8.65) | 51.34% ( -8.65) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.17% ( 3.62) | 9.83% ( -3.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.37% ( 7.82) | 32.62% ( -7.82) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( 2.37) | 27.57% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( 2.96) | 63.09% ( -2.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.81)3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.73)1-0 @ 6.28% ( -1.8)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.74)4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.94)4-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.55)4-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.74)5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.64)5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.43)5-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.47)4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.37)Other @ 3.81% Total : 60.47% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -1.65) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 2.71% ( -1.32)3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.43)Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.3% | 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.66) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( -1.37)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.68)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.47% Total : 20.24% |
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