SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Manchester City |
11.37% ( -0.13) | 17.65% ( -0.04) | 70.98% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.02% ( -0.14) | 40.98% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% ( -0.14) | 63.37% ( 0.14) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.46% ( -0.31) | 45.53% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.64% ( -0.25) | 81.36% ( 0.24) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.71% ( 0) | 10.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.3% ( 0.01) | 33.69% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 11.37% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.83% Total : 17.65% | 0-2 @ 12.11% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 9.18% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.22% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.87% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.25% Total : 70.97% |
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