Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Albirex Niigata
35.37% ( -0.15)	26.75% ( 0.01)	37.88% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.62% (

-0.06)

53.38% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08% (

-0.06)

74.92% (

0.06)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15% (

-0.13)

28.85% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28% (

-0.16)

64.71% (

0.16)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

0.05)

27.36% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18% (

0.06)

62.82% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 35.37%

Albirex Niigata 37.88%

Draw 26.74%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.37%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.88%