Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 38.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 2-0 (4.82%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
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