Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.92%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
31.85% ( 0.01)	22.04% ( 0)	46.1% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 67.37% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.45% (

-0.02)

32.55% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.8% (

-0.03)

54.2% (

0.03)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-0.01)

20.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

-0.01)

53.67% (

0.01)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21% (

-0.01)

14.79% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.95% (

-0.02)

43.05% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 31.86%

Yokohama F Marinos 46.1%

Draw 22.04%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 31.86%	1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.04%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.11% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 46.1%