SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sivasspor in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
45.22% ( -0.29) | 25.88% ( 0.37) | 28.9% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.29% ( -1.56) | 51.71% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.51% ( -1.37) | 73.49% ( 1.36) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( -0.79) | 22.81% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.47% ( -1.19) | 56.53% ( 1.18) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( -0.87) | 32.38% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% ( -0.99) | 68.9% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sivasspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.9% |
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