SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.52%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Gnistan |
53.22% ( 0.04) | 20.76% ( -0.04) | 26.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 67.72% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.71% ( 0.18) | 30.28% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.46% ( 0.21) | 51.53% ( -0.22) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.24% ( 0.07) | 11.75% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.08% ( 0.15) | 36.91% ( -0.16) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( 0.09) | 23.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% ( 0.14) | 57.18% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Gnistan |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 53.22% | 1-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.02% |
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