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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
46.18% ( 0.4) | 25.34% ( 0.09) | 28.48% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.27% ( -0.65) | 49.73% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.26% ( -0.59) | 71.74% ( 0.59) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( -0.09) | 21.54% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.39% ( -0.14) | 54.61% ( 0.14) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0.7) | 31.67% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% ( -0.81) | 68.09% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.48% |
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