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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
28.64% ( -0.09) | 24.36% ( 0.07) | 46.99% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.94% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( -0.37) | 45.42% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( -0.35) | 67.75% ( 0.35) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.25) | 29.33% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( -0.31) | 65.3% ( 0.31) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( -0.14) | 19.43% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( -0.23) | 51.27% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 46.99% |
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