Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Bournemouth
40.97% ( -0.76)	26.82% ( 0.18)	32.21% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 50.82% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

-0.53)

54.18% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

-0.44)

75.59% (

0.44)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

-0.64)

26.03% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-0.87)

61.06% (

0.87)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.7% (

0.13)

31.29% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35% (

0.15)

67.65% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Southampton 40.97%

Bournemouth 32.21%

Draw 26.81%

Southampton	Draw	Bournemouth
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.97%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.21%