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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
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Aston Villa
3 - 0
Bournemouth

Luiz (7'), Ramsey (80'), Buendia (89')
McGinn (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Billing (14'), Lerma (58'), Senesi (66'), Stephens (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
61.5% (0.0010000000000048 0) 21.31%17.19%
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27%44.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91%67.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.00099999999999056 0)14.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.58%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.85%76.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 61.49%
    Bournemouth 17.19%
    Draw 21.3%
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 61.49%
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.15%
1-2 @ 4.7%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Arsenal
Saturday, February 18 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, February 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Leicester
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-4 Man City
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League


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