Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Brentford
42.84% ( -0.16)	26.86% ( -0.13)	30.3% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 49.96% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.06% (

0.61)

54.94% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

0.5)

76.22% (

-0.5)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

0.19)

25.39% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.8% (

0.26)

60.2% (

-0.27)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96% (

0.53)

33.03% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37% (

0.58)

69.63% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Southampton 42.84%

Brentford 30.3%

Draw 26.85%

Southampton	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.84%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.3%