SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
42.84% ( -0.16) | 26.86% ( -0.13) | 30.3% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.06% ( 0.61) | 54.94% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.78% ( 0.5) | 76.22% ( -0.5) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( 0.19) | 25.39% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.8% ( 0.26) | 60.2% ( -0.27) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( 0.53) | 33.03% ( -0.53) |
