Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Ham United in this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Southampton
59.79%	22.64%	17.57%

Both teams to score 48.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3%

49.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.29%

71.71%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76%

16.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.24%

45.76%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.05%

41.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.61%

78.39%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 59.78%

Southampton 17.57%

Draw 22.63%

West Ham United	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 12.38% 2-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 5.92% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2% Total : 59.78%	1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.63%	0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.57%