Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 81.41%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 6.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.73%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.