This has all the makings of an intriguing fixture, Bristol City clearly growing in belief under their recently-appointed head coach. However, we cannot back against Southampton at this point, the Saints having been ticking along nicely with Saturday's draw at Huddersfield likely to be a minor blip.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.
-1.17) 
0.53) 
