SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Hull City |
63.29% ( -2.15) | 19.31% ( 0.69) | 17.39% ( 1.45) |
| Both teams to score 59.58% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.93% ( -0.52) | 35.06% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.93% ( -0.59) | 57.06% ( 0.58) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.42% ( -0.68) | 10.58% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.66% ( -1.54) | 34.33% ( 1.54) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( 1.35) | 33.37% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( 1.45) | 69.99% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Hull City |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.29)1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.21)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.02% Total : 63.29% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.32% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.91% Total : 17.39% |
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