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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
HL

Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City

Aribo (88')
Walker-Peters (23')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zaroury (11'), Carvalho (36')
Jones (78'), Jacob (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 3-1 Hull City

Southampton were controlled in their success over West Brom last time out, and we are expecting more of the same from the Saints at St Mary's in this one. Hull made hard work of trips to Rotherham and Huddersfield in the past week, and we cannot envisage the Tigers recording three-straight away maximums. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawHull City
63.29% (-2.148 -2.15) 19.31% (0.69 0.69) 17.39% (1.454 1.45)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.76 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.93% (-0.52199999999999 -0.52)35.06% (0.519 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.93% (-0.585 -0.59)57.06% (0.581 0.58)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.678 -0.68)10.58% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.66% (-1.544 -1.54)34.33% (1.54 1.54)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (1.345 1.35)33.37% (-1.348 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (1.45 1.45)69.99% (-1.454 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.29%
    Hull City 17.39%
    Draw 19.32%
SouthamptonDrawHull City
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.416 -0.42)
4-1 @ 4.11% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.35 -0.35)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.157 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.212 -0.21)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 63.29%
1-1 @ 8.7% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.32%
1-2 @ 4.78% (0.327 0.33)
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.13% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 17.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Southampton
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-1 Southampton
Tuesday, February 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 5-3 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Watford
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Southampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-2 Hull City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Hull City
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Swansea
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Hull City
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Hull City
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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