SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 55%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Swansea City |
22.86% ( 0.01) | 22.15% | 55% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.61% ( 0.01) | 40.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.23% ( 0.01) | 62.77% ( -0) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( 0.01) | 31.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.49% ( 0.01) | 67.52% ( -0.01) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( 0) | 14.63% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.25% | 42.76% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 5.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.32% 2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 22.86% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.29% 0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.02% 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.16% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.09% Total : 55% |
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