Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Sunderland |
43.11% ( 0.13) | 26.41% ( -0) | 30.48% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.41% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( -0.04) | 53.12% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.31% ( -0.03) | 74.69% ( 0.03) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.56% ( 0.05) | 24.44% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.12% ( 0.07) | 58.88% ( -0.07) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( -0.11) | 31.96% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.58% ( -0.13) | 68.42% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.11% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.48% |
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