SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Albania | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Germany had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%).
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Germany |
47.32% ( -0.57) | 23.89% ( -0.01) | 28.79% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( 0.39) | 43.2% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( 0.38) | 65.59% ( -0.39) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( -0.08) | 18.43% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.41% ( -0.13) | 49.59% ( 0.12) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( 0.6) | 28.09% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% ( 0.76) | 63.76% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Germany |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 47.32% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.79% |
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