SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 66.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 14.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Elgin City win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Elgin City |
66.35% ( -0.04) | 19.06% ( 0) | 14.59% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.47% ( 0.03) | 39.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( 0.03) | 61.88% ( -0.04) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.92% ( -0.01) | 11.07% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.56% ( -0) | 35.44% ( -0) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( 0.05) | 39.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.72% ( 0.05) | 76.28% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 4.18% Total : 66.34% | 1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.06% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.06% 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 14.59% |
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