SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 19.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Bragantino |
19.27% ( 4.02) | 25.05% ( 4.33) | 55.68% ( -8.35) |
| Both teams to score 44.69% ( -5.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.5% ( -10.84) | 56.51% ( 10.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.5% ( -9.51) | 77.5% ( 9.52) |
| Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.06% ( -1.44) | 43.94% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.93% ( -1.21) | 80.08% ( 1.22) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( -6.72) | 20.28% ( 6.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.36% ( -11.99) | 52.64% ( 12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 2.4) 2-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.59)2-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.9)3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.27% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 1.84) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 3.15)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.38)Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 14.21% ( 2.7) 0-2 @ 11.34% ( -0.16)1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.52)0-3 @ 6.03% ( -1.63)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -1.6)0-4 @ 2.41% ( -1.42)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.77)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -1.3)Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.67% |
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