SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 59.67%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 20.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 1-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Burnley |
59.67% ( -0.01) | 20.06% ( 0) | 20.26% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.12% ( 0) | 33.88% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.27% | 55.72% ( -0) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.84% ( -0) | 11.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.38% ( -0) | 35.61% ( 0) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( 0) | 29.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( 0.01) | 65.84% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Burnley |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.88% 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.35% 5-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.03% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3% Total : 59.67% | 1-1 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.02% 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.95% Total : 20.26% |
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