SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Newcastle United |
44.39% ( 1.35) | 23.36% ( -0.31) | 32.25% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.58% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.1% ( 1.14) | 38.89% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% ( 1.19) | 61.21% ( -1.19) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( 1.02) | 17.9% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.3% ( 1.72) | 48.7% ( -1.72) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( -0.06) | 23.77% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% ( -0.08) | 57.91% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.82% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.25% |
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