SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Liverpool |
29.78% ( -0.24) | 21.17% ( -0.04) | 49.05% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 69.48% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0.04) | 29.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.64% ( 0.04) | 50.35% ( -0.04) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -0.12) | 20.47% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( -0.19) | 52.94% ( 0.18) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( 0.1) | 12.63% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.24% ( 0.2) | 38.76% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.05% |
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