Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Everton
45.65% ( 0.02)	24.35% ( -0.01)	30% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.85% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4% (

0.04)

44.61% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03% (

0.04)

66.97% (

-0.03)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

0.02)

19.67% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

0.03)

51.66% (

-0.03)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

0.02)

27.98% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.39% (

0.02)

63.62% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Burnley 45.65%

Everton 30%

Draw 24.35%

Burnley	Draw	Everton
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 45.65%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.8% Total : 30%