Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
