Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Gallen | Draw | FC Zurich |
35.45% ( 0.1) | 24.97% ( 0.01) | 39.58% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.35% ( -0.05) | 45.65% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.02% ( -0.05) | 67.97% ( 0.05) |
St Gallen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.88% ( 0.04) | 25.12% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.17% ( 0.05) | 59.83% ( -0.05) |
FC Zurich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.08% ( -0.08) | 22.92% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% ( -0.12) | 56.68% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
St Gallen | Draw | FC Zurich |
2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.45% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.58% |
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