SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | St Gallen |
42.37% ( -0.85) | 23.19% ( 0.25) | 34.44% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 64.03% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.66% ( -1.1) | 37.33% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.45% ( -1.19) | 59.54% ( 1.19) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( -0.79) | 18.1% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.96% ( -1.37) | 49.04% ( 1.36) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( -0.2) | 21.81% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.97% ( -0.3) | 55.03% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.8% Total : 42.37% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.54% Total : 34.44% |
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