SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Basel had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | FC Zurich |
34.79% ( 0.09) | 26.26% ( -0.01) | 38.95% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.19% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.56% ( 0.04) | 51.44% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.75% ( 0.04) | 73.25% ( -0.03) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.08) | 28.26% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( 0.1) | 63.98% ( -0.1) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -0.03) | 25.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( -0.04) | 60.83% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.79% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.95% |
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