SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
44.65% ( 0.06) | 23.24% ( 0.06) | 32.11% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.99% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.66% ( -0.37) | 38.34% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.38% ( -0.39) | 60.62% ( 0.39) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.42% ( -0.12) | 17.58% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.86% ( -0.21) | 48.13% ( 0.2) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.42% ( -0.25) | 23.58% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.35% ( -0.36) | 57.64% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.11% |
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