SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
47.71% ( 0.05) | 23.16% ( -0) | 29.13% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.51% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( -0.02) | 39.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.11% ( -0.02) | 61.88% ( 0.01) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( 0.01) | 16.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.12% ( 0.02) | 46.87% ( -0.02) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.04) | 26.01% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( -0.05) | 61.04% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 4.21% Total : 47.71% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
